The Washington Capitals (2-1) host the Tampa Bay Lightning (1-2) at Capital One Arena on Tuesday, Oct. 14 at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN, with each team heading into the game following a win. The Capitals are coming off a 1-0 win over the New York Rangers, while the Lightning defeated the Boston Bruins 4-3 in their most recent game.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our pick for which squad will emerge victorious in Tuesday's hockey action.

Capitals vs. Lightning Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final score of Capitals 4, Lightning 3.

Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-112)
Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.8 goals on average)
Spread Pick: Lightning (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

The Capitals were 51-22-9 overall and 9-10-19 in overtime games last season.
In the 26 games Washington played that were decided by one goal, it had a 15-4-7 record (good for 37 points).
The 13 times last season the Capitals finished a game with only one goal, they went 1-10-2 (four points).
Washington scored exactly two goals in 13 games last season (2-9-2 record, six points).
The Capitals scored at least three goals in 62 games (53-3-6, 112 points).
In the 34 games when Washington scored a lone power-play goal, it registered 45 points by finishing 21-10-3.
When it outshot its opponent, Washington was 32-11-4 (68 points).
The Capitals were outshot by their opponent 43 times, and went 23-14-6 (52 points).

Lightning Splits and Trends

The Lightning (47-27-8 overall) posted a record of 6-8-14 in contests that went to OT last season.
Tampa Bay picked up 21 points (8-9-5) in its 22 games decided by one goal.
Last season the Lightning registered only one goal in nine games, and they finished 0-8-1.
Tampa Bay picked up seven points (2-11-3 record) last season when scoring two goals .
The Lightning scored at least three goals 58 times, accumulating 96 points (46-8-4).
Last season Tampa Bay scored a lone power-play goal in 33 games, posting a record of 22-10-1.
When outshooting its opponent last season, Tampa Bay was 25-18-0 (50 points).
The Lightning were outshot by their opponents in 40 games last season, going 22-10-8 to register 52 points.

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Team Stats Comparison (2024-25)

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