Senators vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks - Jan. 1

The Ottawa Senators (18-15-5) will attempt to stop a three-game losing streak when they square off against the Washington Capitals (21-14-5) at home on Thursday, Jan. 1 at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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As hockey play continues, get ready for the matchup by checking out which squad we project to capture the win in Thursday's game.

Over the past 10 contests, the Capitals are 3-5-2 while putting up 27 goals against 35 goals allowed. On 27 power-play opportunities during that span, they have scored four goals (14.8%).

Senators vs. Capitals Predictions for Thursday

Our computer projections model for this encounter expects a final tally of Capitals 4, Senators 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Capitals (+120)
  • Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

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Senators Splits and Trends

  • The Senators (18-15-5 overall) have a 5-5-10 record in games that have gone to overtime.
  • Ottawa is 6-7-5 (17 points) in its 18 games decided by one goal.
  • In the five games this season the Senators scored just one goal, they lost every time.
  • Ottawa has taken six points from the eight games this season when it scored a pair of goals (1-3-4 record).
  • The Senators have scored three or more goals in 24 games (17-6-1, 35 points).
  • In the 15 games when Ottawa has scored a lone power-play goal, it registered 20 points after finishing 9-4-2.
  • In the 22 games when it outshot its opponent, Ottawa is 12-9-1 (25 points).
  • The Senators' opponents have had more shots in 14 games. The Senators went 5-5-4 in those contests (14 points).

Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals have a record of 21-14-5 this season and are 2-5-7 in overtime matchups.
  • Washington has earned 11 points (5-3-1) in its nine games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Capitals registered just one goal in five games and they've earned two points (1-4-0) in those contests.
  • Washington has earned seven points (2-2-3 record) this season when scoring two goals .
  • The Capitals have scored more than two goals 26 times, earning 38 points from those matchups (18-6-2).
  • This season, Washington has recorded a lone power-play goal in 14 games and registered 20 points with a record of 10-4-0.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Washington has posted a record of 11-7-2 (24 points).
  • The Capitals have been outshot by opponents 16 times this season, and earned 20 points in those games.

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Team Stats Comparison

Senators Rank Senators AVG Capitals AVG Capitals Rank
10th 3.21 Goals Scored 3.25 8th
23rd 3.26 Goals Allowed 2.75 7th
17th 28 Shots 29.1 9th
4th 25.4 Shots Allowed 27.6 13th
4th 25.41% Power Play % 15.65% 29th
32nd 71.43% Penalty Kill % 76% 27th

Senators vs. Capitals Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, January 1, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, Ontario

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