The Washington Capitals host the Montreal Canadiens Wednesday in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Capitals hold a 3-1 lead in the series. The Capitals are the favorite (-192) in this game against the Canadiens (+160).
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Here's our pick for who will claim the win in this NHL Playoffs First Round contest.
Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projection model for this matchup expects a final score of Capitals 4, Canadiens 2.
- Moneyline Pick: Capitals (-192)
- Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Capitals (-1.5)
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Capitals Splits and Trends
- The Capitals have a 51-22-9 record overall, with a 9-9-18 record in contests that have needed overtime.
- In the 25 games Washington has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 15-4-6 record (good for 36 points).
- In the 11 games this season the Capitals registered just one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
- Washington has taken six points from the 12 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-8-2 record).
- The Capitals are 51-3-6 in the 60 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 108 points).
- In the 32 games when Washington has scored a lone power-play goal, it went 20-9-3 to record 43 points.
- In the 47 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Washington is 32-11-4 (68 points).
- The Capitals have been outshot by opponents 37 times, and went 21-11-5 (47 points).
Canadiens Splits and Trends
- The Canadiens have posted a record of 10-12-22 in overtime contests as part of an overall mark of 40-31-11.
- Montreal has earned 40 points (16-4-8) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
- In 10 games this season when the Canadiens finished a game with only one goal, they earned a total of five points (2-7-1).
- Montreal has 10 points (3-11-4) when scoring a pair of goals this season.
- The Canadiens have scored more than two goals 53 times, earning 78 points from those matchups (36-11-6).
- This season, Montreal has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 33 games has a record of 16-10-7 in those matchups.
- When it outshoots its opponent this season, Montreal has posted a record of 18-10-2 (38 points).
- The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents in 53 games, going 22-21-10 to register 54 points.
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Team Stats Comparison
| Capitals Rank | Capitals AVG | Canadiens AVG | Canadiens Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd | 3.49 | Goals Scored | 2.96 | 17th |
| 8th | 2.79 | Goals Allowed | 3.18 | 22nd |
| 22nd | 27.6 | Shots | 25.5 | 30th |
| 10th | 27.2 | Shots Allowed | 29 | 23rd |
| 14th | 23.53% | Power Play % | 20.09% | 21st |
| 5th | 82.01% | Penalty Kill % | 80.93% | 9th |
Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Wednesday, April 30, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.
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