Capitals vs. Canadiens Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 4

The Washington Capitals and Montreal Canadiens square off for Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round on Sunday, April 27, starting at 6:30 p.m. ET on TBS. The Capitals hold a 2-1 lead in the series. The Capitals are favored (-118) in this matchup against the Canadiens (-102).

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Before this matchup, here's who we project to secure the win in Sunday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Capitals vs. Canadiens Predictions for Sunday

Our computer model for this game predicts a final result of Canadiens 4, Capitals 3.

• Moneyline Pick: Canadiens (-102)
• Total Pick: Over 6 (computer predicts 6.3 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Canadiens (+1.5)

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Capitals Splits and Trends

• The Capitals have a 51-22-9 record overall, with a 9-9-18 record in games that have needed overtime.
• Washington is 15-4-6 (36 points) in its 25 games decided by one goal.
• In the 11 games this season the Capitals recorded just one goal, they went 1-9-1 (three points).
• Washington has taken six points from the 12 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (2-8-2 record).
• The Capitals are 50-3-6 in the 59 games when they have scored three or more goals (to register 106 points).
• In the 32 games when Washington has recorded a single power-play goal, it picked up 43 points after finishing 20-9-3.
• When it has outshot opponents, Washington is 31-11-4 (66 points).
• The Capitals have been outshot by opponents in 37 games, going 21-11-5 to register 47 points.

Canadiens Splits and Trends

• The Canadiens have a 40-31-11 record this season and are 10-12-22 in contests that have gone to overtime.
• Montreal has earned 40 points (16-4-8) in its 28 games decided by one goal.
• This season the Canadiens scored just one goal in 10 games and have gone 2-7-1 (five points).
• Montreal has earned 10 points (3-10-4 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
• The Canadiens have scored more than two goals 53 times, earning 78 points from those matchups (36-11-6).
• This season, Montreal has scored a single power-play goal in 33 games and registered 39 points with a record of 16-10-7.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Montreal is 18-10-2 (38 points).
• The Canadiens have been outshot by opponents in 52 games, going 22-20-10 to record 54 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Capitals vs. Canadiens Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Sunday, April 27, 2025 at 6:30 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: TBS
• Live Stream: Watch this match on Max (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: Bell Centre in Montréal, Quebec

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