Stars vs. Capitals Prediction & Picks - October 17

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The Dallas Stars (4-0) visit the Washington Capitals (1-1) at Capital One Arena on Thursday, October 17 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The Stars have won four games in a row.

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Before watching this matchup, here's a glimpse at which club we predict will emerge with the victory in Thursday's action on the ice.

Stars vs. Capitals Predictions for Thursday

Our computer model for this contest predicts a final result of Capitals 4, Stars 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Capitals (+130)
  • Total Pick: Under 6 (computer predicts 5.6 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Capitals (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

  • The Stars finished 14-11-25 in overtime games last season as part of an overall record of 52-21-9.
  • In the 42 games Dallas played that were decided by one goal, it had a 23-10-9 record (good for 55 points).
  • The 13 times last season the Stars ended a game with just one goal, they went 2-10-1 (five points).
  • Dallas scored exactly two goals in 14 games last season (6-4-4 record, 16 points).
  • The Stars scored at least three goals 70 times, and went 54-10-6 in those games (to register 114 points).
  • In the 36 games when Dallas scored a lone power-play goal, it picked up 51 points by finishing 24-9-3.
  • In the 58 games last season when it outshot its opponent, Dallas was 39-14-5 (83 points).
  • The Stars were outshot by their opponent in 39 games, going 22-11-6 to record 50 points.

Capitals Splits and Trends

  • The Capitals put up a record of 8-11-19 in overtime games last season on their way to an overall mark of 40-31-11.
  • Washington picked up 38 points (16-3-6) in its 25 games decided by one goal.
  • Across the 15 games last season the Capitals ended up with only one goal, they picked up three points.
  • Washington accumulated 26 points (10-10-6) when scoring a pair of goals last season.
  • The Capitals scored three or more goals in 39 games, earning 62 points from those contests.
  • Last season Washington scored a lone power-play goal in 28 games and picked up 30 points, with a record of 13-11-4.
  • When outshooting its opponent last season, Washington was 11-10-5 (27 points).
  • The Capitals were outshot by their opponents 59 times last season, and took 62 points from those games.

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Team Stats Comparison (2023-24)

Stars Rank Stars AVG Capitals AVG Capitals Rank
3rd 3.59 Goals Scored 2.63 28th
8th 2.83 Goals Allowed 3.07 16th
11th 31.6 Shots 26.5 30th
7th 28.7 Shots Allowed 30.5 21st
6th 24.17% Power Play % 20.61% 18th
8th 82.01% Penalty Kill % 78.97% 18th

Stars vs. Capitals Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, October 17, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Capital One Arena in Washington D.C.

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